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NHLOct 9, 2026 7:00 PM EDT1 days out

New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

New York Rangers

44.2%win probability+126 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 41.3%, has ranged 41.3 to 44.3%, and sits at 44.2% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
41.3%
Range
41.3 to 44.3%
Band
2.9 points
Readings
69
New York Rangers win probabilityProbability10-day average
39%41%43%45%47%44.2%Sep 10Oct 769 readings
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Washington Capitals

55.8%win probability-126 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 58.7%, has ranged 55.8 to 58.7%, and sits at 55.8% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
58.7%
Range
55.8 to 58.7%
Band
2.9 points
Readings
69
Washington Capitals win probabilityProbability10-day average
53%55%57%59%61%55.8%Sep 10Oct 769 readings

History includes 15 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.