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NHLOct 10, 2026 7:00 PM EDT3 days out

Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

34.2%win probability+192 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 34.2%, has ranged 34.2 to 34.2%, and sits at 34.2% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
34.2%
Range
34.2 to 34.2%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
31
Toronto Maple Leafs win probabilityProbability10-day average
30%32%34%36%38%34.2%Sep 21Oct 731 readings
Home

Colorado Avalanche

65.8%win probability-192 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 65.8%, has ranged 65.8 to 65.8%, and sits at 65.8% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
65.8%
Range
65.8 to 65.8%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
31
Colorado Avalanche win probabilityProbability10-day average
62%64%66%68%70%65.8%Sep 21Oct 731 readings