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NHLOct 10, 2026 7:00 PM EDT3 days out

Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.

Overall Analysis

Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche

Ayght Sports puts Toronto Maple Leafs at 34.2 percent and Colorado Avalanche at 65.8 percent, a clear separation in favour of Colorado Avalanche. Since first published, Toronto Maple Leafs has moved from 34.2 to 34.2 percent and Colorado Avalanche from 65.8 to 65.8 percent. The number has been settled across that period. Model confidence on this matchup is 25 of 100, so the estimate carries more uncertainty than usual.

8 players carry an availability report. The Matchup tab has the detail.

Assembled from recorded model output only. It describes what has been published and how likely outcomes are currently considered — it is not a prediction of the result. Lineup and availability information reflects what our data providers have reported; where nothing is listed, nothing has been reported, which is not the same as confirmed availability.