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NHLOct 17, 2026 4:00 PM EDT9 days out

Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Vancouver Canucks

34.8%win probability+187 equivalentProbability rising+1.5

Opened at 33.2%, has ranged 33.2 to 34.8%, and sits at 34.8% now — +1.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
33.2%
Range
33.2 to 34.8%
Band
1.6 points
Readings
52
Vancouver Canucks win probabilityProbability10-day average
30%32%34%36%38%34.8%Sep 21Oct 852 readings
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Tampa Bay Lightning

65.2%win probability-187 equivalentProbability falling-1.5

Opened at 66.8%, has ranged 65.2 to 66.8%, and sits at 65.2% now — -1.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
66.8%
Range
65.2 to 66.8%
Band
1.6 points
Readings
52
Tampa Bay Lightning win probabilityProbability10-day average
62%64%66%68%70%65.2%Sep 21Oct 852 readings

History includes 18 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.