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NHLOct 17, 2026 7:00 PM EDT9 days out

New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

New York Islanders

50.6%win probability-102 equivalentProbability rising+0.5

Opened at 50.3%, has ranged 50.1 to 50.6%, and sits at 50.6% now — +0.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
50.3%
Range
50.1 to 50.6%
Band
0.5 points
Readings
56
New York Islanders win probabilityProbability10-day average
46%48%50%52%54%50.6%Sep 21Oct 856 readings
Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

49.4%win probability+102 equivalentProbability falling-0.5

Opened at 49.8%, has ranged 49.4 to 49.9%, and sits at 49.4% now — -0.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
49.8%
Range
49.4 to 49.9%
Band
0.5 points
Readings
56
Toronto Maple Leafs win probabilityProbability10-day average
46%48%50%52%54%49.4%Sep 21Oct 856 readings

History includes 22 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.