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NHLOct 22, 2026 7:00 PM EDT12 days out

New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

New York Rangers

53.1%win probability-113 equivalentProbability rising+0.4

Opened at 49.8%, has ranged 49.8 to 53.1%, and sits at 53.1% now — +0.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
49.8%
Range
49.8 to 53.1%
Band
3.4 points
Readings
45
New York Rangers win probabilityProbability10-day average
48%49%51%53%55%53.1%Oct 8Oct 945 readings
Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

46.9%win probability+113 equivalentProbability falling-0.4

Opened at 50.3%, has ranged 46.9 to 50.3%, and sits at 46.9% now — -0.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
50.3%
Range
46.9 to 50.3%
Band
3.4 points
Readings
45
Toronto Maple Leafs win probabilityProbability10-day average
45%47%49%51%52%46.9%Oct 8Oct 945 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.