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NHLOct 22, 2026 7:00 PM EDT12 days out

New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.

Overall Analysis

New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs

Ayght Sports puts New York Rangers at 53.1 percent and Toronto Maple Leafs at 46.9 percent, a modest edge in favour of New York Rangers. Since first published, New York Rangers has moved from 49.8 to 53.1 percent and Toronto Maple Leafs from 50.3 to 46.9 percent. That is a moderate shift over the recorded period. Model confidence on this matchup is 25 of 100, so the estimate carries more uncertainty than usual.

13 players carry an availability report. The Matchup tab has the detail.

Assembled from recorded model output only. It describes what has been published and how likely outcomes are currently considered — it is not a prediction of the result. Lineup and availability information reflects what our data providers have reported; where nothing is listed, nothing has been reported, which is not the same as confirmed availability.