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NHLOct 28, 2026 10:00 PM EDT20 days out

Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

44.6%win probability+124 equivalentProbability falling-0.4

Opened at 46.3%, has ranged 44.6 to 46.3%, and sits at 44.6% now — -0.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
46.3%
Range
44.6 to 46.3%
Band
1.7 points
Readings
13
Toronto Maple Leafs win probabilityProbability10-day average
42%44%45%47%49%44.6%Oct 8Oct 813 readings
Home

Seattle Kraken

55.4%win probability-124 equivalentProbability rising+0.4

Opened at 53.7%, has ranged 53.7 to 55.4%, and sits at 55.4% now — +0.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
53.7%
Range
53.7 to 55.4%
Band
1.7 points
Readings
13
Seattle Kraken win probabilityProbability10-day average
51%53%55%57%58%55.4%Oct 8Oct 813 readings

History includes 11 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.