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NHLOct 28, 2026 10:00 PM EDT18 days out

Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.

Overall Analysis

Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken

Ayght Sports puts Toronto Maple Leafs at 44.4 percent and Seattle Kraken at 55.6 percent, a modest edge in favour of Seattle Kraken. Since first published, Toronto Maple Leafs has moved from 46.3 to 44.4 percent and Seattle Kraken from 53.7 to 55.6 percent. That is a moderate shift over the recorded period. Model confidence on this matchup is 25 of 100, so the estimate carries more uncertainty than usual.

10 players carry an availability report. The Matchup tab has the detail.

Assembled from recorded model output only. It describes what has been published and how likely outcomes are currently considered — it is not a prediction of the result. Lineup and availability information reflects what our data providers have reported; where nothing is listed, nothing has been reported, which is not the same as confirmed availability.