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NHLNov 3, 2026 7:00 PM EST24 days out

Utah Mammoth at Toronto Maple Leafs

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Utah Mammoth

54.4%win probability-119 equivalentProbability falling-0.7

Opened at 53.5%, has ranged 53.4 to 56.3%, and sits at 54.4% now — -0.7 against its 10-day average.

Opened
53.5%
Range
53.4 to 56.3%
Band
2.9 points
Readings
46
Utah Mammoth win probabilityProbability10-day average
51%53%55%57%59%54.4%Oct 8Oct 946 readings
Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

45.6%win probability+119 equivalentProbability rising+0.7

Opened at 46.5%, has ranged 43.7 to 46.6%, and sits at 45.6% now — +0.7 against its 10-day average.

Opened
46.5%
Range
43.7 to 46.6%
Band
2.9 points
Readings
46
Toronto Maple Leafs win probabilityProbability10-day average
41%43%45%47%49%45.6%Oct 8Oct 946 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.