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NBAOct 12, 2026 7:00 PM EDT3 days out

Oklahoma City Thunder at Atlanta Hawks

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Oklahoma City Thunder

60.9%win probability-156 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 60.9%, has ranged 60.9 to 60.9%, and sits at 60.9% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
60.9%
Range
60.9 to 60.9%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
75
Oklahoma City Thunder win probabilityProbability10-day average
57%59%61%63%65%60.9%Sep 21Oct 975 readings
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Atlanta Hawks

39.1%win probability+156 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 39.1%, has ranged 39.1 to 39.1%, and sits at 39.1% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
39.1%
Range
39.1 to 39.1%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
75
Atlanta Hawks win probabilityProbability10-day average
35%37%39%41%43%39.1%Sep 21Oct 975 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.