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NBAOct 16, 2026 8:00 PM EDT8 days out

Atlanta Hawks at Dallas Mavericks

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Atlanta Hawks

59.3%win probability-146 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 59.4%, has ranged 59.3 to 59.4%, and sits at 59.3% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
59.4%
Range
59.3 to 59.4%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
47
Atlanta Hawks win probabilityProbability10-day average
55%57%59%61%63%59.3%Sep 21Oct 847 readings
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Dallas Mavericks

40.7%win probability+146 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 40.7%, has ranged 40.7 to 40.7%, and sits at 40.7% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
40.7%
Range
40.7 to 40.7%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
47
Dallas Mavericks win probabilityProbability10-day average
37%39%41%43%45%40.7%Sep 21Oct 847 readings

History includes 14 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.