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NBAOct 16, 2026 10:30 PM EDT8 days out

Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Denver Nuggets

50.1%win probability-100 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 50.0%, has ranged 50.0 to 50.1%, and sits at 50.1% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
50.0%
Range
50.0 to 50.1%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
56
Denver Nuggets win probabilityProbability10-day average
46%48%50%52%54%50.1%Sep 21Oct 856 readings
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Los Angeles Lakers

49.9%win probability+100 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 50.0%, has ranged 49.9 to 50.0%, and sits at 49.9% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
50.0%
Range
49.9 to 50.0%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
56
Los Angeles Lakers win probabilityProbability10-day average
46%48%50%52%54%49.9%Sep 21Oct 856 readings

History includes 23 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.