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NBAOct 14, 2026 8:00 PM EDT6 days out

New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

New Orleans Pelicans

45.3%win probability+121 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 45.3%, has ranged 45.3 to 45.3%, and sits at 45.3% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
45.3%
Range
45.3 to 45.3%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
48
New Orleans Pelicans win probabilityProbability10-day average
41%43%45%47%49%45.3%Sep 21Oct 848 readings
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Dallas Mavericks

54.7%win probability-121 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 54.8%, has ranged 54.7 to 54.8%, and sits at 54.7% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
54.8%
Range
54.7 to 54.8%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
48
Dallas Mavericks win probabilityProbability10-day average
51%53%55%57%59%54.7%Sep 21Oct 848 readings

History includes 15 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.