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MLBOct 8, 2026 8:00 PM EDT0 days out

Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.

Projection calculated Oct 8, 2:53 AM EDT.

Shown for context. Starters, lineups and availability are not currently inputs to the Ayght Sports model. The probabilities above do not account for them. They are published so the assumptions can be inspected and disagreed with, not because they have been validated. The projection below is experimental.
Away

Cleveland Guardians

Reported starter

Not yet reported.

Possible starter

  • Parker Messick38.1%
  • Gavin Williams23.8%

Possible starters, not confirmed ones. These are independent likelihoods and do not add to 100 percent.

Possible lineup

  • 1Steven Kwan89%Undecided11%
  • 2Jose Ramirez89%Undecided11%
  • 3Chase DeLauter78%Undecided11%
  • 4Jo Adell78%Undecided11%
  • 5Angel Martinez33%Undecided11%
  • 6Nathaniel Lowe33%David Fry33%Undecided22%
  • 7Travis Bazzana44%Undecided11%
  • 8Austin Hedges33%Patrick Bailey33%Undecided33%
  • 9Brayan Rocchio78%Undecided22%

Candidates for each batting position, not a confirmed lineup. Each figure is that player’s own chance of filling that position, so the figures within a position do not add up to it in full — a player who is a candidate for several positions appears only at their most likely one.

Lineup

No lineup posted yet.

Injuries

Colin Holderman15-day-il
Rhys Hoskins10-day-il
Andrew WaltersOut

Squad list from a public source, not evidence scoped to this game. An empty list means nothing has been reported, not that everyone is fit.

Home

Chicago White Sox

Reported starter

Not yet reported.

Possible starter

  • Hagen Smith30.8%
  • Sean Burke19.2%
  • Anthony Kay19.2%

Possible starters, not confirmed ones. These are independent likelihoods and do not add to 100 percent.

Possible lineup

  • 1Sam Antonacci64%Undecided7%
  • 2Kyle Teel50%Randal Grichuk14%Tommy Pham14%Undecided7%
  • 3Miguel Vargas64%Undecided7%
  • 4Munetaka Murakami64%Undecided7%
  • 5Andrew Benintendi50%Undecided7%
  • 6Tristan Peters36%Brenton Doyle14%Undecided7%
  • 7Chase Meidroth43%Undecided7%
  • 8Braden Montgomery29%Undecided29%
  • 9Colson Montgomery29%Undecided21%

Candidates for each batting position, not a confirmed lineup. Each figure is that player’s own chance of filling that position, so the figures within a position do not add up to it in full — a player who is a candidate for several positions appears only at their most likely one.

Lineup

No lineup posted yet.

Injuries

Luis Castillo15-day-il
Prelander Berroa60-day-il
Ky Bush60-day-il
Jordan Leasure60-day-il
Joey Bart10-day-il
Mike Vasil60-day-il
Tanner Murray60-day-il
Brooks Baldwin60-day-il

Squad list from a public source, not evidence scoped to this game. An empty list means nothing has been reported, not that everyone is fit.

An empty section means no current licensed evidence — not a confirmed lineup, and not a clean bill of health. Where a squad list is shown in place of event-scoped evidence, it is marked as such: the two are different claims from different sources, and neither is an input to the probabilities above. Projection generated 6.8 hours ago.