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MLBOct 10, 2026 8:00 PM EDT1 days out

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Chicago White Sox

47.4%win probability+111 equivalentProbability rising+0.1

Opened at 47.2%, has ranged 47.2 to 47.4%, and sits at 47.4% now — +0.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
47.2%
Range
47.2 to 47.4%
Band
0.2 points
Readings
6
Chicago White Sox win probabilityProbability10-day average
43%45%47%49%51%47.4%Oct 6Oct 96 readings
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Cleveland Guardians

52.6%win probability-111 equivalentProbability falling-0.1

Opened at 52.8%, has ranged 52.6 to 52.8%, and sits at 52.6% now — -0.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
52.8%
Range
52.6 to 52.8%
Band
0.2 points
Readings
6
Cleveland Guardians win probabilityProbability10-day average
49%51%53%55%57%52.6%Oct 6Oct 96 readings