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NBAOct 15, 2026 8:30 PM EDT6 days out

Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Oklahoma City Thunder

55.3%win probability-124 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 55.4%, has ranged 55.3 to 55.4%, and sits at 55.3% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
55.4%
Range
55.3 to 55.4%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
75
Oklahoma City Thunder win probabilityProbability10-day average
51%53%55%57%59%55.3%Sep 21Oct 975 readings
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Houston Rockets

44.7%win probability+124 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 44.6%, has ranged 44.6 to 44.7%, and sits at 44.7% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
44.6%
Range
44.6 to 44.7%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
75
Houston Rockets win probabilityProbability10-day average
41%43%45%47%49%44.7%Sep 21Oct 975 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.