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NBAOct 28, 2026 9:30 PM EDT19 days out

Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Oklahoma City Thunder

74.8%win probability-297 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 74.8%, has ranged 74.8 to 74.8%, and sits at 74.8% now — 0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
74.8%
Range
74.8 to 74.8%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
36
Oklahoma City Thunder win probabilityProbability10-day average
71%73%75%77%79%74.8%Oct 8Oct 936 readings
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Dallas Mavericks

25.2%win probability+297 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 25.2%, has ranged 25.2 to 25.2%, and sits at 25.2% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
25.2%
Range
25.2 to 25.2%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
36
Dallas Mavericks win probabilityProbability10-day average
21%23%25%27%29%25.2%Oct 8Oct 936 readings

History includes 33 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.