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NBAOct 28, 2026 9:30 PM EDT18 days out

Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.

Projection calculated Oct 10, 4:24 PM EDT.

Shown for context. Starters, lineups and availability are not currently inputs to the Ayght Sports model. The probabilities above do not account for them. They are published so the assumptions can be inspected and disagreed with, not because they have been validated. The projection below is experimental.
Away

Oklahoma City Thunder

Reported starter

Not yet reported.

Possible starter

No projection available.

Ayght recommended lineup

  • PGNo supported selection
  • SGNo supported selection
  • SFNo supported selection
  • PFNo supported selection
  • CNo supported selection

Considered: incomplete injuries, incomplete roster, missing slots, no roster evidence.

The lineup our model would pick for this game, not a forecast of the team’s choice. Experimental. Where a lineup has been posted, each selection is marked against it so you can judge the disagreements.

Lineup

No lineup posted yet.

Injuries

Thomas SorberDay-to-day
Nikola TopicDay-to-day
Chet HolmgrenDay-to-day
Jaylin WilliamsDay-to-day
Kenrich WilliamsDay-to-day
Alex CarusoDay-to-day
Jared McCainDay-to-day
Ajay MitchellDay-to-day
Isaiah HartensteinDay-to-day
Cason WallaceDay-to-day
Jalen WilliamsDay-to-day
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderDay-to-day

Squad list from a public source, not evidence scoped to this game. An empty list means nothing has been reported, not that everyone is fit.

Home

Dallas Mavericks

Reported starter

Not yet reported.

Possible starter

No projection available.

Ayght recommended lineup

  • PGNo supported selection
  • SGNo supported selection
  • SFNo supported selection
  • PFNo supported selection
  • CNo supported selection

Considered: incomplete injuries, incomplete roster, missing slots, no roster evidence.

The lineup our model would pick for this game, not a forecast of the team’s choice. Experimental. Where a lineup has been posted, each selection is marked against it so you can judge the disagreements.

Lineup

No lineup posted yet.

Injuries

Marcus SasserDay-to-day
P.J. WashingtonDay-to-day
Caleb MartinDay-to-day
Dereck Lively IIDay-to-day
Santi AldamaDay-to-day

Squad list from a public source, not evidence scoped to this game. An empty list means nothing has been reported, not that everyone is fit.

An empty section means no current licensed evidence — not a confirmed lineup, and not a clean bill of health. Where a squad list is shown in place of event-scoped evidence, it is marked as such: the two are different claims from different sources, and neither is an input to the probabilities above. Projection generated 1.2 hours ago.