D.C. United at FC Cincinnati
How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
D.C. United
29.8%win probability+236 equivalentHolding steady
Opened at 29.4%, has ranged 25.4 to 31.7%, and sits at 29.8% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 29.4%
- Range
- 25.4 to 31.7%
- Band
- 6.3 points
- Readings
- 74
D.C. United win probabilityProbability10-day average
Draw
21.7%win probability+361 equivalentHolding steady
Opened at 21.0%, has ranged 20.3 to 26.8%, and sits at 21.7% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 21.0%
- Range
- 20.3 to 26.8%
- Band
- 6.5 points
- Readings
- 74
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
FC Cincinnati
48.6%win probability+106 equivalentHolding steady
Opened at 49.7%, has ranged 41.5 to 54.3%, and sits at 48.6% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 49.7%
- Range
- 41.5 to 54.3%
- Band
- 12.8 points
- Readings
- 74
FC Cincinnati win probabilityProbability10-day average
Pricing method changed Aug 26, 2026. Earlier points include a margin and read slightly high.
History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.