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MLSOct 10, 2026 1:00 PM EDT3 days out

CF Montréal at Toronto FC

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

CF Montréal

24.9%win probability+302 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 24.9%, has ranged 24.9 to 24.9%, and sits at 24.9% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
24.9%
Range
24.9 to 24.9%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
31
CF Montréal win probabilityProbability10-day average
21%23%25%27%29%24.9%Sep 21Oct 731 readings
Draw

Draw

22.4%win probability+346 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 22.4%, has ranged 22.4 to 22.4%, and sits at 22.4% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
22.4%
Range
22.4 to 22.4%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
31
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
19%20%22%24%26%22.4%Sep 21Oct 731 readings
Home

Toronto FC

52.7%win probability-111 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 52.7%, has ranged 52.7 to 52.7%, and sits at 52.7% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
52.7%
Range
52.7 to 52.7%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
31
Toronto FC win probabilityProbability10-day average
49%51%53%55%57%52.7%Sep 21Oct 731 readings