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MLSOct 10, 2026 7:30 PM EDT1 days out

Columbus Crew at Orlando City SC

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Columbus Crew

35.5%win probability+182 equivalentProbability rising+2.9

Opened at 32.4%, has ranged 32.4 to 35.6%, and sits at 35.5% now — +2.9 against its 10-day average.

Opened
32.4%
Range
32.4 to 35.6%
Band
3.2 points
Readings
75
Columbus Crew win probabilityProbability10-day average
30%32%34%36%38%35.5%Sep 21Oct 975 readings
Draw

Draw

22.6%win probability+342 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 22.6%, has ranged 22.6 to 22.6%, and sits at 22.6% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
22.6%
Range
22.6 to 22.6%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
75
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
19%21%23%25%26%22.6%Sep 21Oct 975 readings
Home

Orlando City SC

41.9%win probability+139 equivalentProbability falling-3.0

Opened at 45.0%, has ranged 41.8 to 45.0%, and sits at 41.9% now — -3.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
45.0%
Range
41.8 to 45.0%
Band
3.2 points
Readings
75
Orlando City SC win probabilityProbability10-day average
40%41%43%45%47%41.9%Sep 21Oct 975 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.