Real Salt Lake at Philadelphia Union
How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Real Salt Lake
24.6%win probability+307 equivalentProbability falling-1.7
Opened at 26.4%, has ranged 24.6 to 26.4%, and sits at 24.6% now — -1.7 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 26.4%
- Range
- 24.6 to 26.4%
- Band
- 1.8 points
- Readings
- 75
Real Salt Lake win probabilityProbability10-day average
Draw
22.0%win probability+355 equivalentProbability falling-0.8
Opened at 22.8%, has ranged 22.0 to 22.8%, and sits at 22.0% now — -0.8 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 22.8%
- Range
- 22.0 to 22.8%
- Band
- 0.9 points
- Readings
- 75
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
Philadelphia Union
53.4%win probability-115 equivalentProbability rising+2.5
Opened at 50.8%, has ranged 50.8 to 53.4%, and sits at 53.4% now — +2.5 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 50.8%
- Range
- 50.8 to 53.4%
- Band
- 2.7 points
- Readings
- 75
Philadelphia Union win probabilityProbability10-day average
History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.