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MLSOct 10, 2026 7:30 PM EDT2 days out

Seattle Sounders FC at New England Revolution

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Seattle Sounders FC

22.8%win probability+339 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 22.8%, has ranged 22.8 to 22.8%, and sits at 22.8% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
22.8%
Range
22.8 to 22.8%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
45
Seattle Sounders FC win probabilityProbability10-day average
19%21%23%25%27%22.8%Sep 21Oct 845 readings
Draw

Draw

26.0%win probability+285 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 26.0%, has ranged 26.0 to 26.0%, and sits at 26.0% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
26.0%
Range
26.0 to 26.0%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
45
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
22%24%26%28%30%26.0%Sep 21Oct 845 readings
Home

New England Revolution

51.2%win probability-105 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 51.2%, has ranged 51.2 to 51.2%, and sits at 51.2% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
51.2%
Range
51.2 to 51.2%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
45
New England Revolution win probabilityProbability10-day average
47%49%51%53%55%51.2%Sep 21Oct 845 readings

History includes 12 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.