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MLSOct 10, 2026 7:30 PM EDT1 days out

FC Dallas at Charlotte FC

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

FC Dallas

29.9%win probability+234 equivalentProbability rising+0.5

Opened at 29.5%, has ranged 29.4 to 29.9%, and sits at 29.9% now — +0.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
29.5%
Range
29.4 to 29.9%
Band
0.5 points
Readings
72
FC Dallas win probabilityProbability10-day average
26%28%30%32%34%29.9%Sep 21Oct 972 readings
Draw

Draw

23.6%win probability+324 equivalentProbability rising+1.0

Opened at 22.7%, has ranged 22.6 to 23.6%, and sits at 23.6% now — +1.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
22.7%
Range
22.6 to 23.6%
Band
1.0 points
Readings
72
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
19%21%23%25%27%23.6%Sep 21Oct 972 readings
Home

Charlotte FC

46.6%win probability+115 equivalentProbability falling-1.3

Opened at 47.9%, has ranged 46.6 to 48.0%, and sits at 46.6% now — -1.3 against its 10-day average.

Opened
47.9%
Range
46.6 to 48.0%
Band
1.4 points
Readings
72
Charlotte FC win probabilityProbability10-day average
43%45%47%49%51%46.6%Sep 21Oct 972 readings

History includes 37 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.