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MLSOct 10, 2026 7:30 PM EDT1 days out

San Diego FC at Red Bull New York

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

San Diego FC

39.0%win probability+156 equivalentProbability rising+0.8

Opened at 38.1%, has ranged 38.1 to 39.0%, and sits at 39.0% now — +0.8 against its 10-day average.

Opened
38.1%
Range
38.1 to 39.0%
Band
0.9 points
Readings
72
San Diego FC win probabilityProbability10-day average
35%37%39%41%42%39.0%Sep 21Oct 972 readings
Draw

Draw

24.0%win probability+317 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 24.0%, has ranged 24.0 to 24.0%, and sits at 24.0% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
24.0%
Range
24.0 to 24.0%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
72
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
20%22%24%26%28%24.0%Sep 21Oct 972 readings
Home

Red Bull New York

37.1%win probability+170 equivalentProbability falling-0.7

Opened at 37.9%, has ranged 37.1 to 37.9%, and sits at 37.1% now — -0.7 against its 10-day average.

Opened
37.9%
Range
37.1 to 37.9%
Band
0.8 points
Readings
72
Red Bull New York win probabilityProbability10-day average
34%36%37%39%41%37.1%Sep 21Oct 972 readings

History includes 37 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.