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MLSOct 10, 2026 8:30 PM EDT1 days out

Houston Dynamo FC at Minnesota United FC

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Houston Dynamo FC

34.8%win probability+187 equivalentProbability rising+0.1

Opened at 34.7%, has ranged 34.7 to 34.8%, and sits at 34.8% now — +0.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
34.7%
Range
34.7 to 34.8%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
75
Houston Dynamo FC win probabilityProbability10-day average
31%33%35%37%39%34.8%Sep 21Oct 975 readings
Draw

Draw

26.6%win probability+276 equivalentProbability falling-0.4

Opened at 27.0%, has ranged 26.6 to 27.0%, and sits at 26.6% now — -0.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
27.0%
Range
26.6 to 27.0%
Band
0.4 points
Readings
75
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
23%25%27%29%31%26.6%Sep 21Oct 975 readings
Home

Minnesota United FC

38.6%win probability+159 equivalentProbability rising+0.2

Opened at 38.4%, has ranged 38.4 to 38.6%, and sits at 38.6% now — +0.2 against its 10-day average.

Opened
38.4%
Range
38.4 to 38.6%
Band
0.3 points
Readings
75
Minnesota United FC win probabilityProbability10-day average
35%37%39%40%42%38.6%Sep 21Oct 975 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.