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MLSOct 10, 2026 8:30 PM EDT2 days out

Portland Timbers at Sporting Kansas City

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Portland Timbers

48.9%win probability+104 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 49.0%, has ranged 48.9 to 49.0%, and sits at 48.9% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
49.0%
Range
48.9 to 49.0%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
45
Portland Timbers win probabilityProbability10-day average
45%47%49%51%53%48.9%Sep 21Oct 845 readings
Draw

Draw

21.9%win probability+357 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 21.9%, has ranged 21.9 to 21.9%, and sits at 21.9% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
21.9%
Range
21.9 to 21.9%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
45
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
18%20%22%24%26%21.9%Sep 21Oct 845 readings
Home

Sporting Kansas City

29.2%win probability+242 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 29.1%, has ranged 29.1 to 29.2%, and sits at 29.2% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
29.1%
Range
29.1 to 29.2%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
45
Sporting Kansas City win probabilityProbability10-day average
25%27%29%31%33%29.2%Sep 21Oct 845 readings

History includes 12 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.