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MLSOct 10, 2026 8:30 PM EDT2 days out

Nashville SC at Austin FC

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Nashville SC

51.7%win probability-107 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 51.7%, has ranged 51.7 to 51.7%, and sits at 51.7% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
51.7%
Range
51.7 to 51.7%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
46
Nashville SC win probabilityProbability10-day average
48%50%52%54%56%51.7%Sep 21Oct 846 readings
Draw

Draw

24.7%win probability+305 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 24.7%, has ranged 24.7 to 24.7%, and sits at 24.7% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
24.7%
Range
24.7 to 24.7%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
46
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
21%23%25%27%29%24.7%Sep 21Oct 846 readings
Home

Austin FC

23.7%win probability+322 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 23.6%, has ranged 23.6 to 23.7%, and sits at 23.7% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
23.6%
Range
23.6 to 23.7%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
46
Austin FC win probabilityProbability10-day average
20%22%24%26%28%23.7%Sep 21Oct 846 readings

History includes 13 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.