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MLSOct 10, 2026 9:30 PM EDT1 days out

San Jose Earthquakes at Colorado Rapids

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

San Jose Earthquakes

34.7%win probability+188 equivalentProbability rising+1.5

Opened at 33.1%, has ranged 33.1 to 34.7%, and sits at 34.7% now — +1.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
33.1%
Range
33.1 to 34.7%
Band
1.6 points
Readings
75
San Jose Earthquakes win probabilityProbability10-day average
30%32%34%36%38%34.7%Sep 21Oct 975 readings
Draw

Draw

25.5%win probability+292 equivalentProbability falling-0.7

Opened at 26.2%, has ranged 25.5 to 26.2%, and sits at 25.5% now — -0.7 against its 10-day average.

Opened
26.2%
Range
25.5 to 26.2%
Band
0.7 points
Readings
75
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
22%24%26%28%30%25.5%Sep 21Oct 975 readings
Home

Colorado Rapids

39.9%win probability+151 equivalentProbability falling-0.8

Opened at 40.7%, has ranged 39.9 to 40.7%, and sits at 39.9% now — -0.8 against its 10-day average.

Opened
40.7%
Range
39.9 to 40.7%
Band
0.8 points
Readings
75
Colorado Rapids win probabilityProbability10-day average
36%38%40%42%44%39.9%Sep 21Oct 975 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.