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MLSOct 14, 2026 7:30 PM EDT5 days out

New England Revolution at FC Cincinnati

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

New England Revolution

39.8%win probability+151 equivalentProbability falling-0.1

Opened at 39.9%, has ranged 39.7 to 39.9%, and sits at 39.8% now — -0.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
39.9%
Range
39.7 to 39.9%
Band
0.2 points
Readings
76
New England Revolution win probabilityProbability10-day average
36%38%40%42%44%39.8%Sep 21Oct 976 readings
Draw

Draw

21.9%win probability+357 equivalentProbability falling-0.2

Opened at 22.1%, has ranged 21.9 to 22.1%, and sits at 21.9% now — -0.2 against its 10-day average.

Opened
22.1%
Range
21.9 to 22.1%
Band
0.2 points
Readings
76
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
18%20%22%24%26%21.9%Sep 21Oct 976 readings
Home

FC Cincinnati

38.4%win probability+160 equivalentProbability rising+0.4

Opened at 38.0%, has ranged 38.0 to 38.4%, and sits at 38.4% now — +0.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
38.0%
Range
38.0 to 38.4%
Band
0.4 points
Readings
76
FC Cincinnati win probabilityProbability10-day average
34%36%38%40%42%38.4%Sep 21Oct 976 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.