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MLSOct 14, 2026 7:30 PM EDT6 days out

Red Bull New York at D.C. United

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Red Bull New York

26.9%win probability+272 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 26.9%, has ranged 26.9 to 26.9%, and sits at 26.9% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
26.9%
Range
26.9 to 26.9%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
46
Red Bull New York win probabilityProbability10-day average
23%25%27%29%31%26.9%Sep 21Oct 846 readings
Draw

Draw

24.6%win probability+307 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 24.6%, has ranged 24.6 to 24.6%, and sits at 24.6% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
24.6%
Range
24.6 to 24.6%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
46
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
21%23%25%27%29%24.6%Sep 21Oct 846 readings
Home

D.C. United

48.4%win probability+107 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 48.5%, has ranged 48.4 to 48.5%, and sits at 48.4% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
48.5%
Range
48.4 to 48.5%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
46
D.C. United win probabilityProbability10-day average
45%46%48%50%52%48.4%Sep 21Oct 846 readings

History includes 13 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.