San Jose Earthquakes at Real Salt Lake
How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
San Jose Earthquakes
37.0%win probability+170 equivalentProbability rising+1.4
Opened at 35.3%, has ranged 35.3 to 37.0%, and sits at 37.0% now — +1.4 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 35.3%
- Range
- 35.3 to 37.0%
- Band
- 1.7 points
- Readings
- 76
San Jose Earthquakes win probabilityProbability10-day average
Draw
24.6%win probability+307 equivalentHolding steady
Opened at 24.6%, has ranged 24.6 to 24.6%, and sits at 24.6% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 24.6%
- Range
- 24.6 to 24.6%
- Band
- 0.1 points
- Readings
- 76
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
Real Salt Lake
38.4%win probability+160 equivalentProbability falling-1.5
Opened at 40.1%, has ranged 38.4 to 40.1%, and sits at 38.4% now — -1.5 against its 10-day average.
- Opened
- 40.1%
- Range
- 38.4 to 40.1%
- Band
- 1.7 points
- Readings
- 76
Real Salt Lake win probabilityProbability10-day average
History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.