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MLSOct 17, 2026 2:30 PM EDT9 days out

Charlotte FC at Philadelphia Union

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Charlotte FC

31.6%win probability+216 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 31.6%, has ranged 31.6 to 31.6%, and sits at 31.6% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
31.6%
Range
31.6 to 31.6%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
48
Charlotte FC win probabilityProbability10-day average
28%30%32%34%36%31.6%Sep 21Oct 848 readings
Draw

Draw

23.5%win probability+326 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 23.5%, has ranged 23.5 to 23.5%, and sits at 23.5% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
23.5%
Range
23.5 to 23.5%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
48
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
20%22%24%25%27%23.5%Sep 21Oct 848 readings
Home

Philadelphia Union

44.8%win probability+123 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 44.8%, has ranged 44.8 to 44.8%, and sits at 44.8% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
44.8%
Range
44.8 to 44.8%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
48
Philadelphia Union win probabilityProbability10-day average
41%43%45%47%49%44.8%Sep 21Oct 848 readings

History includes 15 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.