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MLSOct 17, 2026 8:30 PM EDT8 days out

FC Dallas at Houston Dynamo FC

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

FC Dallas

32.3%win probability+210 equivalentProbability rising+1.3

Opened at 31.0%, has ranged 30.9 to 32.3%, and sits at 32.3% now — +1.3 against its 10-day average.

Opened
31.0%
Range
30.9 to 32.3%
Band
1.4 points
Readings
74
FC Dallas win probabilityProbability10-day average
28%30%32%34%36%32.3%Sep 21Oct 974 readings
Draw

Draw

26.1%win probability+283 equivalentProbability rising+0.7

Opened at 25.4%, has ranged 25.4 to 26.2%, and sits at 26.1% now — +0.7 against its 10-day average.

Opened
25.4%
Range
25.4 to 26.2%
Band
0.8 points
Readings
74
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
22%24%26%28%30%26.1%Sep 21Oct 974 readings
Home

Houston Dynamo FC

41.6%win probability+140 equivalentProbability falling-2.0

Opened at 43.7%, has ranged 41.6 to 43.7%, and sits at 41.6% now — -2.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
43.7%
Range
41.6 to 43.7%
Band
2.2 points
Readings
74
Houston Dynamo FC win probabilityProbability10-day average
39%41%43%45%47%41.6%Sep 21Oct 974 readings

History includes 39 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.