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MLSOct 17, 2026 8:30 PM EDT8 days out

Real Salt Lake at Sporting Kansas City

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Real Salt Lake

44.0%win probability+127 equivalentProbability falling-2.3

Opened at 46.5%, has ranged 44.0 to 46.5%, and sits at 44.0% now — -2.3 against its 10-day average.

Opened
46.5%
Range
44.0 to 46.5%
Band
2.5 points
Readings
76
Real Salt Lake win probabilityProbability10-day average
41%43%45%47%49%44.0%Sep 21Oct 976 readings
Draw

Draw

23.8%win probability+320 equivalentProbability rising+0.2

Opened at 23.5%, has ranged 23.5 to 23.8%, and sits at 23.8% now — +0.2 against its 10-day average.

Opened
23.5%
Range
23.5 to 23.8%
Band
0.3 points
Readings
76
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
20%22%24%26%28%23.8%Sep 21Oct 976 readings
Home

Sporting Kansas City

32.3%win probability+210 equivalentProbability rising+2.1

Opened at 30.0%, has ranged 30.0 to 32.3%, and sits at 32.3% now — +2.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
30.0%
Range
30.0 to 32.3%
Band
2.4 points
Readings
76
Sporting Kansas City win probabilityProbability10-day average
27%29%31%33%35%32.3%Sep 21Oct 976 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.