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MLSOct 17, 2026 10:30 PM EDT9 days out

CF Montréal at Seattle Sounders FC

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

CF Montréal

24.1%win probability+315 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 24.1%, has ranged 24.1 to 24.1%, and sits at 24.1% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
24.1%
Range
24.1 to 24.1%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
46
CF Montréal win probabilityProbability10-day average
20%22%24%26%28%24.1%Sep 21Oct 846 readings
Draw

Draw

25.2%win probability+297 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 25.2%, has ranged 25.2 to 25.2%, and sits at 25.2% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
25.2%
Range
25.2 to 25.2%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
46
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
21%23%25%27%29%25.2%Sep 21Oct 846 readings
Home

Seattle Sounders FC

50.7%win probability-103 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 50.7%, has ranged 50.7 to 50.7%, and sits at 50.7% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
50.7%
Range
50.7 to 50.7%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
46
Seattle Sounders FC win probabilityProbability10-day average
47%49%51%53%55%50.7%Sep 21Oct 846 readings

History includes 13 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.