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MLSOct 17, 2026 10:30 PM EDT8 days out

Nashville SC at San Jose Earthquakes

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Nashville SC

42.9%win probability+133 equivalentProbability rising+1.2

Opened at 41.5%, has ranged 41.5 to 42.9%, and sits at 42.9% now — +1.2 against its 10-day average.

Opened
41.5%
Range
41.5 to 42.9%
Band
1.4 points
Readings
76
Nashville SC win probabilityProbability10-day average
38%40%42%44%46%42.9%Sep 21Oct 976 readings
Draw

Draw

25.8%win probability+288 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 25.8%, has ranged 25.8 to 25.8%, and sits at 25.8% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
25.8%
Range
25.8 to 25.8%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
76
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
22%24%26%28%30%25.8%Sep 21Oct 976 readings
Home

San Jose Earthquakes

31.4%win probability+218 equivalentProbability falling-1.1

Opened at 32.7%, has ranged 31.3 to 32.7%, and sits at 31.4% now — -1.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
32.7%
Range
31.3 to 32.7%
Band
1.3 points
Readings
76
San Jose Earthquakes win probabilityProbability10-day average
28%30%32%34%36%31.4%Sep 21Oct 976 readings

History includes 40 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.