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MLSOct 18, 2026 5:00 PM EDT10 days out

Columbus Crew at FC Cincinnati

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Columbus Crew

30.2%win probability+231 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 30.2%, has ranged 30.2 to 30.2%, and sits at 30.2% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
30.2%
Range
30.2 to 30.2%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
46
Columbus Crew win probabilityProbability10-day average
26%28%30%32%34%30.2%Sep 21Oct 846 readings
Draw

Draw

21.0%win probability+376 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 21.0%, has ranged 21.0 to 21.0%, and sits at 21.0% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
21.0%
Range
21.0 to 21.0%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
46
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
17%19%21%23%25%21.0%Sep 21Oct 846 readings
Home

FC Cincinnati

48.9%win probability+104 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 48.8%, has ranged 48.8 to 48.9%, and sits at 48.9% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
48.8%
Range
48.8 to 48.9%
Band
0.1 points
Readings
46
FC Cincinnati win probabilityProbability10-day average
45%47%49%51%53%48.9%Sep 21Oct 846 readings

History includes 13 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.