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MLSOct 24, 2026 7:30 PM EDT15 days out

New York City FC at Orlando City SC

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

New York City FC

40.3%win probability+148 equivalentProbability rising+0.4

Opened at 39.5%, has ranged 39.5 to 40.3%, and sits at 40.3% now — +0.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
39.5%
Range
39.5 to 40.3%
Band
0.8 points
Readings
41
New York City FC win probabilityProbability10-day average
36%38%40%42%44%40.3%Oct 8Oct 941 readings
Draw

Draw

23.2%win probability+331 equivalentProbability falling-0.1

Opened at 23.4%, has ranged 23.1 to 23.4%, and sits at 23.2% now — -0.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
23.4%
Range
23.1 to 23.4%
Band
0.3 points
Readings
41
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
19%21%23%25%27%23.2%Oct 8Oct 941 readings
Home

Orlando City SC

36.6%win probability+173 equivalentProbability falling-0.3

Opened at 37.1%, has ranged 36.6 to 37.1%, and sits at 36.6% now — -0.3 against its 10-day average.

Opened
37.1%
Range
36.6 to 37.1%
Band
0.5 points
Readings
41
Orlando City SC win probabilityProbability10-day average
33%35%37%39%41%36.6%Oct 8Oct 941 readings

History includes 37 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.