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MLSOct 24, 2026 7:30 PM EDT15 days out

FC Cincinnati at D.C. United

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

FC Cincinnati

31.6%win probability+216 equivalentProbability falling-0.2

Opened at 32.0%, has ranged 31.6 to 32.0%, and sits at 31.6% now — -0.2 against its 10-day average.

Opened
32.0%
Range
31.6 to 32.0%
Band
0.4 points
Readings
37
FC Cincinnati win probabilityProbability10-day average
28%30%32%34%36%31.6%Oct 8Oct 937 readings
Draw

Draw

21.6%win probability+363 equivalentProbability falling-0.3

Opened at 22.0%, has ranged 21.6 to 22.0%, and sits at 21.6% now — -0.3 against its 10-day average.

Opened
22.0%
Range
21.6 to 22.0%
Band
0.4 points
Readings
37
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
18%20%22%24%26%21.6%Oct 8Oct 937 readings
Home

D.C. United

46.8%win probability+114 equivalentProbability rising+0.4

Opened at 46.1%, has ranged 46.1 to 46.8%, and sits at 46.8% now — +0.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
46.1%
Range
46.1 to 46.8%
Band
0.7 points
Readings
37
D.C. United win probabilityProbability10-day average
43%44%46%48%50%46.8%Oct 8Oct 937 readings

History includes 33 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.