Event

Back to all events

MLSOct 24, 2026 8:30 PM EDT15 days out

St. Louis CITY SC at Real Salt Lake

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

St. Louis CITY SC

37.9%win probability+164 equivalentProbability rising+1.7

Opened at 34.8%, has ranged 34.8 to 37.9%, and sits at 37.9% now — +1.7 against its 10-day average.

Opened
34.8%
Range
34.8 to 37.9%
Band
3.1 points
Readings
39
St. Louis CITY SC win probabilityProbability10-day average
32%34%36%38%40%37.9%Oct 8Oct 939 readings
Draw

Draw

25.1%win probability+298 equivalentProbability rising+0.1

Opened at 24.9%, has ranged 24.9 to 25.1%, and sits at 25.1% now — +0.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
24.9%
Range
24.9 to 25.1%
Band
0.2 points
Readings
39
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
21%23%25%27%29%25.1%Oct 8Oct 939 readings
Home

Real Salt Lake

37.0%win probability+170 equivalentProbability falling-1.9

Opened at 40.3%, has ranged 37.0 to 40.3%, and sits at 37.0% now — -1.9 against its 10-day average.

Opened
40.3%
Range
37.0 to 40.3%
Band
3.3 points
Readings
39
Real Salt Lake win probabilityProbability10-day average
35%37%39%41%43%37.0%Oct 8Oct 939 readings

History includes 35 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.