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MLSOct 28, 2026 8:30 PM EDT19 days out

Columbus Crew at FC Dallas

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Columbus Crew

25.3%win probability+295 equivalentProbability rising+0.8

Opened at 24.2%, has ranged 24.2 to 25.3%, and sits at 25.3% now — +0.8 against its 10-day average.

Opened
24.2%
Range
24.2 to 25.3%
Band
1.1 points
Readings
30
Columbus Crew win probabilityProbability10-day average
21%23%25%27%29%25.3%Oct 8Oct 930 readings
Draw

Draw

22.9%win probability+337 equivalentProbability rising+0.7

Opened at 21.9%, has ranged 21.9 to 23.0%, and sits at 22.9% now — +0.7 against its 10-day average.

Opened
21.9%
Range
21.9 to 23.0%
Band
1.1 points
Readings
30
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
19%20%22%24%26%22.9%Oct 8Oct 930 readings
Home

FC Dallas

51.8%win probability-107 equivalentProbability falling-1.5

Opened at 53.9%, has ranged 51.8 to 53.9%, and sits at 51.8% now — -1.5 against its 10-day average.

Opened
53.9%
Range
51.8 to 53.9%
Band
2.2 points
Readings
30
FC Dallas win probabilityProbability10-day average
49%51%53%55%57%51.8%Oct 8Oct 930 readings

History includes 27 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.