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MLSOct 28, 2026 8:30 PM EDT20 days out

Portland Timbers at St. Louis CITY SC

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

Portland Timbers

27.2%win probability+268 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 27.2%, has ranged 27.2 to 27.2%, and sits at 27.2% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
27.2%
Range
27.2 to 27.2%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
8
Portland Timbers win probabilityProbability10-day average
23%25%27%29%31%27.2%Oct 8Oct 88 readings
Draw

Draw

22.3%win probability+348 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 22.3%, has ranged 22.3 to 22.3%, and sits at 22.3% now — 0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
22.3%
Range
22.3 to 22.3%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
8
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
18%20%22%24%26%22.3%Oct 8Oct 88 readings
Home

St. Louis CITY SC

50.5%win probability-102 equivalentHolding steady

Opened at 50.5%, has ranged 50.5 to 50.5%, and sits at 50.5% now — +0.0 against its 10-day average.

Opened
50.5%
Range
50.5 to 50.5%
Band
0.0 points
Readings
8
St. Louis CITY SC win probabilityProbability10-day average
47%49%51%52%54%50.5%Oct 8Oct 88 readings

History includes 7 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.