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MLSOct 31, 2026 3:00 PM EDT22 days out

FC Dallas at Sporting Kansas City

How to read this page. Every figure is an Ayght Sports probability estimate and its recorded movement since we first published it. Both sides are shown the same way. A probability describes how often an outcome occurs across many similar matchups — it is not a prediction of this result, and neither side is recommended over the other.
Away

FC Dallas

50.9%win probability-104 equivalentProbability falling-1.1

Opened at 52.4%, has ranged 50.9 to 52.4%, and sits at 50.9% now — -1.1 against its 10-day average.

Opened
52.4%
Range
50.9 to 52.4%
Band
1.5 points
Readings
30
FC Dallas win probabilityProbability10-day average
48%50%52%54%56%50.9%Oct 8Oct 930 readings
Draw

Draw

22.1%win probability+352 equivalentProbability rising+0.4

Opened at 21.6%, has ranged 21.6 to 22.1%, and sits at 22.1% now — +0.4 against its 10-day average.

Opened
21.6%
Range
21.6 to 22.1%
Band
0.6 points
Readings
30
Draw win probabilityProbability10-day average
18%20%22%24%26%22.1%Oct 8Oct 930 readings
Home

Sporting Kansas City

26.9%win probability+272 equivalentProbability rising+0.6

Opened at 26.1%, has ranged 26.0 to 26.9%, and sits at 26.9% now — +0.6 against its 10-day average.

Opened
26.1%
Range
26.0 to 26.9%
Band
0.9 points
Readings
30
Sporting Kansas City win probabilityProbability10-day average
23%25%26%28%30%26.9%Oct 8Oct 930 readings

History includes 27 readings carried over from the Ayght platform, where these numbers were first published.